Gerald Celente 2009 outlook
juli 11, 2009 av frydonomics
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Creepy. Får håpe det går bedre her.
At noen på Glenn Beck sier noe gjør det ikke akkurat MER sannsynlig at de har rett.
Nei, selvsagt ikke men Celente har en temmelig god trackrecord.
If Nostradamus were alive today, he’d have a hard time keeping up with Gerald Celente. — New York Post
When CNN wants to know about the Top Trends, we ask Gerald Celente. — CNN Headline News
A network of 25 experts whose range of specialties would rival many university faculties. —The Economist
Gerald Celente has a knack for getting the zeitgeist right.— USA Today
There’s not a better trend forecaster than Gerald Celente. The man knows what he’s talking about. — CNBC
Those who take their predictions seriously … consider the Trends Research Institute. — The Wall Street Journal
“You’re always terrific.” — Oprah Winfrey
“A guy that obviously knows his trends.” — Bill O’Reilly
“Our favorite Trend Forecaster, Gerald Celente.”— Miles O’Brien
Gerald Celente is always ahead of the curve on trends and uncannily on the mark … he’s one of the most accurate forecasters around. — The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Mr. Celente tracks the world’s social, economic and business trends for corporate clients. — The New York Times
Mr. Celente is a very intelligent guy. We are able to learn about trends from an authority. — 48 Hours, CBS News
Gerald Celente has a solid track record. He has predicted everything from the 1987 stock market crash and the demise of the Soviet Union to green marketing and corporate downsizing. — The Detroit News
Gerald Celente forecast the 1987 stock market crash, ‘green marketing,’ and the boom in gourmet coffees. — Chicago Tribune
The Trends Research Institute is the Standard and Poors of Popular Culture. — The Los Angeles Times
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gerald_Celente
Ellers så er det fullt mulig han overdriver, men jeg tror han har rett i at det verste fremdeles ikke er over når det kommer til finanskrisen.
fryd:
Fallacy: Appeal to Authority
An Appeal to Authority is a fallacy with the following form:
When a person falls prey to this fallacy, they are accepting a claim as true without there being adequate evidence to do so. More specifically, the person is accepting the claim because they erroneously believe that the person making the claim is a legitimate expert.
Celente:
Appeal to Fear
The Appeal to Fear is a fallacy with the following pattern:
Y is presented (a claim that is intended to produce fear).
Therefore claim X is true (a claim that is generally, but need not be, related to Y in some manner).
Eksempel: Hvem skal leie kontorlokalene? New York City vil bli som Mexico City!
Konklusjon: Hadde han klart å produsere sammenhengende resonnementer med logisk argumenter kunne jeg kanskje forsøkt å tatt han alvorlig.
Dette er en dårlig gallionsfigur Aksel.
Vil gjerne legge til:
Slippery Slope
The Slippery Slope is a fallacy in which a person asserts that some event must inevitably follow from another without any argument for the inevitability of the event in question. In most cases, there are a series of steps or gradations between one event and the one in question and no reason is given as to why the intervening steps or gradations will simply be bypassed. This “argument” has the following form:
Event X has occurred (or will or might occur).
Therefore event Y will inevitably happen.
This sort of “reasoning” is fallacious because there is no reason to believe that one event must inevitably follow from another without an argument for such a claim. This is especially clear in cases in which there is a significant number of steps or gradations between one event and another.
Jeg tror heller ikke på alt Celente sier, men jeg tror at han har et poeng når han viser til at økonomiske tilbakeslag fører til sosial uro og mer kriminalitet. Omfanget av dette kan dog diskuteres, personlig tror jeg mexico city blir å strekke strikken vel langt.